Stocks slip as Treasury yields climb to two-decade highs
In brief
- Yields bite: The S&P 500 fell -0.25% as Treasury yields rose to levels not seen in more than two decades.1
- Fed eyes more: Fed minutes showed officials expect more rate hikes but gave no timing, keeping borrowing costs in focus.2
- Oil risk returns: Oil rose on a warning that Iran appeared to be stepping up attacks in the Strait of Hormuz.3
What it means
Higher rates hit two corners at once: banks fell on lending worries, and tech slipped on fears that costlier funding could slow the AI buildout.1 The 10-year yield ended at 5.28%, up +0.01 pts, after a solid 10-year auction pulled it off its high.2 Futures are lower before the open, with S&P 500 futures at -0.42% and Nasdaq 100 futures at -0.36%.
The day in review and where money is flowing
Even after the dip, the S&P 500 is up +1.91% on a 5-day basis and the Nasdaq 100 is up +2.43%. In Metravise's one-month view, Technology leads the market by +1.1 pts, powered by Semiconductor Equipment & Materials at +16.6 pts and Semiconductors at +13.3 pts, while Financials and Energy lag. The Metravise Portfolio moved -0.57% in the last session, a bit more than the broad market.
Chips: strike vote, new partner
A union of Micron workers in Taiwan voted to strike, a supply-side risk inside the market's strongest industry group.4 In Electronics & Computer Distribution, TD SYNNEX signed a deal letting its U.S. IT reseller partners offer SignWell's eSignature platform.5
Market mood
The VIX sits at 14.98, in calm territory, and moved -0.20% despite the selloff. The equity put/call ratio's 5-day average of 0.59 is in the average zone, suggesting investors are not rushing for downside protection.
What to watch today
Times are US Eastern (ET).
- 00:15US index futures (futures, not the session)Versus the prior close, S&P 500 futures are -0.42% and Nasdaq 100 futures -0.36%; these are futures prices, not the session. The US session opens at 9:30 ET.
- Thu 04:30Fed Governor Christopher J. Waller speaks — Economic OutlookWaller speaks right after minutes signaling further hikes; a hawkish tone is generally read as support for higher yields.2
- Thu 08:30Initial jobless claims (weekly)A lower-than-expected claims figure is generally read as a sign of a tight labor market, which can add to rate-hike worries.
- ThuGoldMining Inc. (GLDG) earningsGoldMining reports after a positive preliminary economic assessment for its São Jorge Project in Brazil, with exploration spending up.6
- Thu30-year Treasury auctionAfter a solid 10-year sale, the Treasury's 30-year bond auction is another test of demand for long-term debt.2
Metravise Portfolio
- PortfolioWednesday change−0.57%
- —No entries or exits in the last session.
Metravise is an educational research platform — this bulletin is not investment advice. News summaries are based on the footnoted sources; numbers are Metravise data. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Sources
- S&P 500 retreats from record as elevated yields keep traders on guard: Live updates — CNBC · Oct 8
- 10-year Treasury yield backs off from 24-year high after solid bond auction eases demand fears — CNBC · Oct 8
- Live Updates: Vance seems to soften Iran nuclear demands, Rubio says Tehran has "lost control" of Strait of Hormuz — CBS News · Oct 8
- Micron Technology, Inc. Stock Quote Price and Forecast — CNN · Oct 8
- SignWell Partners With TD SYNNEX to Scale Enterprise-Grade eSignature Platform Across Partner Ecosystem — GlobeNewswire · Oct 7
- GoldMining Inc (GLDG) — Morningstar · Oct 7