Tech drags S&P 500 to 7,580.95 as energy giants hit records
In brief
- Tech under pressure: The Nasdaq Composite fell -2.85% as traders rotated out of AI stocks into defensive sectors.1
- Energy shines: Chevron and ExxonMobil hit record highs on sharply higher profits, as tight fuel supply lifted refining.1,2
- Fed hawks speak: Fed officials called for more tightening, putting Friday's jobs report at the center of rate-hike bets.3,4
What it means
The S&P 500 fell -1.81% and the 10-year yield eased -0.06 pts to 4.93%, as money moved toward defensive areas.1 Intel had its worst day in decades after issuing weaker guidance, blaming memory costs that hurt PC demand.5 S&P 500 futures were up +0.47% and Nasdaq 100 futures +0.92% early Monday, ahead of a packed week of earnings and jobs data.6
The day in review and where money is flowing
On Metravise's one-month view, Energy leads the S&P 500 by +4.2 pts, with Oil & Gas E&P at +14.1 pts and Oil & Gas Drilling at +12.7 pts. Friday's rotation favored consumer staples and health care, with Regeneron higher after a strong quarter, while tech lagged.1 Over five sessions the Nasdaq 100 lost -1.97%, against -0.56% for the S&P 500.
Energy: refiners cash in
Shell, BP, TotalEnergies, ExxonMobil and Chevron all reported sharply higher refining earnings as disruptions in Russia and the Middle East tightened fuel supply.2 Shell posted record refining margins and raised its buyback; CEO Wael Sawan cited severe disruption to the global energy system.7 WTI crude still fell -3.39% to $100.59, while gold rose +0.60%.
Market mood
The VIX jumped +13.65% to 19.56, a sharp move that still leaves it in the normal zone. The equity put/call ratio was 0.58 versus a 5-day average of 0.60, an average reading that shows caution without panic.
What to watch this week
Times are US Eastern (ET).
- 23:10US index futures (futures, not the session)Versus the prior close, S&P 500 futures are +0.47% and Nasdaq 100 futures +0.92%; these are futures prices, not the session. The US session opens at 9:30 ET.
- MonApple Inc. (AAPL) earnings · today after the closeCNBC's Investing Club sees Apple's outlook as key to the stock reaction, with demand and gross margins under memory-cost pressure in focus.4
- MonPalantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) earnings · today after the closePalantir reports as AI-spending worries have led tech lower, making its results a test of AI sentiment.8
- Tue 10:00Job openings and labor turnover (JOLTS)CNBC's Investing Club calls September JOLTS the week's least consequential labor update, since the data are a month old.4
- Fri 08:30Employment report (nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate)Rate futures priced just under 75% odds of a December quarter-point hike as of Friday, and the jobs data are seen shaping that view.4
- MonISM ManufacturingOctober ISM Manufacturing is due at 10:00 ET; an above-consensus reading is generally read as a sign of resilient factory activity.8
- TueUber earningsUber is listed to report before the bell on Tuesday rather than Monday.4
Metravise Portfolio
- PortfolioFriday change−6.17%
- —No entries or exits in the last session.
Metravise is an educational research platform — this bulletin is not investment advice. News summaries are based on the footnoted sources; numbers are Metravise data. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Sources
- Stock market rocked as investors dump tech shares; Nasdaq suffers worst day since June: Live updates — CNBC · Oct 31
- Trump called out Big Oil profits. Here's how much their refining earnings have surged since — CNBC · Nov 1
- Fed officials are already saying they'll need to get back to hiking rates — CNBC · Oct 31
- Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week ahead — CNBC · Nov 2
- Nasdaq suffers worst month in over a year as AI nerves roil markets — CNN · Oct 31
- Stock futures tick higher ahead of busy week of earnings, jobs data and the midterm elections: Live updates — CNBC · Nov 2
- Shell nearly doubles quarterly profit year-on-year as refining margins soar to record high — CNBC · Oct 30
- Midterms, Apple earnings, jobs report. Wall Street faces a big week ahead just as investors dump tech — CNBC · Oct 31